Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.332356 0.387391 0.448858 0.522634 0.608838 0.706452 0.825487
2025-01-26 0.255737 0.331084 0.424582 0.549323 0.711724 0.916471 1.195002
2025-02-02 0.216137 0.300584 0.413188 0.574725 0.801288 1.108922 1.560424
2025-02-09 0.186895 0.275481 0.400719 0.591342 0.875493 1.285528 1.926127
2025-02-16 0.162271 0.251459 0.384059 0.596482 0.930272 1.438040 2.275656
2025-02-23 0.140999 0.228421 0.364347 0.592253 0.967630 1.566258 2.603100
2025-03-02 0.121168 0.204332 0.338973 0.574243 0.978658 1.651861 2.870838
2025-03-09 0.111162 0.194644 0.335026 0.590039 1.046375 1.837365 3.331040
2025-03-16 0.100322 0.181887 0.323953 0.591491 1.088472 1.982966 3.739565
2025-03-23 0.092515 0.173342 0.318882 0.602480 1.148308 2.166496 4.241959
2025-03-30 0.082735 0.159842 0.303052 0.591146 1.164314 2.269902 4.603707
2025-04-06 0.075013 0.149222 0.291186 0.585611 1.190254 2.394582 5.023605
2025-04-13 0.068849 0.141064 0.283408 0.587870 1.233565 2.562231 5.563393
2025-04-20 0.066192 0.139677 0.288912 0.618117 1.339136 2.872033 6.455251
2025-04-27 0.063559 0.137962 0.293451 0.646770 1.444942 3.196056 7.426959
2025-05-04 0.060247 0.134346 0.293491 0.665518 1.531250 3.488687 8.370652
2025-05-11 0.056192 0.128567 0.288114 0.671317 1.588706 3.723639 9.212854
2025-05-18 0.051763 0.121378 0.278717 0.666545 1.620598 3.903178 9.946278
2025-05-25 0.046730 0.112165 0.263605 0.646227 1.612177 3.985070 10.445376
2025-06-01 0.044668 0.109780 0.264142 0.664048 1.700571 4.316165 11.642959
2025-06-08 0.041792 0.105054 0.258506 0.665686 1.747954 4.550067 12.616406
2025-06-15 0.039771 0.102218 0.257153 0.678085 1.825047 4.871028 13.879293
2025-06-22 0.036597 0.096047 0.246721 0.665297 1.832912 5.009069 14.645439